Reference scenario · illustrative

The model priced the risk. Something still has to answer for the decision.

Underwriting and claims decisions carry statutory constraints that do not move because a model produced the number. This scenario shows the constraint enforced at the moment the decision would take effect.

01The mandate

What you are already obliged to produce

Insurance regulators moved early on AI governance, and the obligations landed on the insurer rather than the vendor.

What you are already obliged to produce
AuthorityWhat it obliges you to produce
NAIC AI Model BulletinA written AI systems programme with governance, risk management and documented controls over models used in regulated decisions.
Unfair discrimination statutesDecisions must not rest on protected characteristics, including via proxies that reproduce them indirectly.
Solvency II governanceEffective governance including a clear allocation of responsibilities and an auditable decision trail.
IFRS 17Measurement and disclosure that hold up under audit, including the basis on which claims liabilities were recognised.
02The conflict

Why the usual answer does not close

A fairness review sampled after the fact cannot tell a regulator that no impermissible decision was executed.

01

Proxy features are not always visible at review time; the question is whether an impermissible basis reached the decision, not whether anyone intended it to.

02

Claims automation scales the consequence of a wrong rule far faster than a quarterly review cycle can detect it.

03

The bulletin asks for documented controls over models in production. Documentation of intent is not the same artefact as a record of what each decision was actually permitted to do.

03At the boundary

One action at the boundary

The engine measures the action against both an approved reference and a prohibited one in a single decision — the arrangement the ablation on our evidence page exists to justify.

Candidate action

claim.deny.execute · $340,000 · protected-class proxy in decision basis

BLOCKUnfair discrimination · dual-reference margin

The action read as compliant against the approved reference alone. Scored against the prohibited reference in the same decision, the margin collapsed — the case sat as close to a known impermissible basis as to a permitted one. A single-reference gate passes this class of case; on our held-out set it passed four in ten.

04Engine evidence

The same measurements, whatever the sector

These are figures from the internal technical evidence report, not projections modelled for this scenario. They describe one pipeline, so they do not change when the mandate does.

0 / 18

Attack episodes passed

Stage 0 SHADOW evaluation of action traces authored by real generative planners. None of nine held-out benign episodes was blocked.

0 / 10

Prohibited cases passed, dual reference

Controlled ablation on the same held-out set. A single-reference gate passed four of ten under identical calibration.

0.47 ms

Mean decision latency

Across 5,000 measured decisions; 1.15 ms at p99. The gate itself completes in 258 nanoseconds.

1,000 / 1,000

Identical digests on replay

Same input, pinned environment. Ten thousand ledger records re-verified in 0.195 seconds.

What this scenario is not

Read this before you quote it

  • An illustrative scenario, not a customer engagement. No client is named because none is being described.
  • No deployment in this sector is claimed, and no regulator has reviewed or endorsed this material.
  • The figures are prototype measurements on one commodity workstation, not production or distributed results.
  • Nothing here has been independently reproduced by a third party.
  • The authorities cited describe the obligation you carry — not a determination that we satisfy them.
  • Operational accuracy on a validated sector corpus remains outstanding; a pilot requires your own reference data.

Check the numbers before you trust the scenario

Every figure above is drawn from the technical evidence page, where the same measurements appear with their tail distribution and their stated limits.